Hublot MP-15 Murakami Sapphire: An Investment Hiding in Plain Sight?
In-depth analysis of the $330,000 Hublot MP-15 Murakami Sapphire. We explore its secondary market price, investment precedent, and why it reveals a rare opportunity for savvy collectors.
Being a movement
5/8/20242 min read


Timepiece
Hublot MP-15 Murakami Sapphire: An Investment Hiding in Plain Sight?
In the upper echelon of high horology, some timepieces shout their value with precious metals and overwhelming complications. Others, however, whisper. The Hublot MP-15 Takashi Murakami Tourbillon Sapphire is one of those pieces—a kinetic sculpture that laughs at convention and, to the trained eye, presents a fascinating market anomaly.
This isn't just a watch review; it's an insider's look at a market opportunity for the patient collector.
What is the MP-15 Murakami?
Before we dive into the market, let's understand the machine. This watch is a feat of engineering and collaborative art.
Model & Reference: MP-15 Takashi Murakami Tourbillon Sapphire (Ref: 915.JX.4802.RT)
Manufacturer: Hublot
Year of Launch: November 2023
Case: 42 mm polished sapphire crystal case
Movement: Manual-winding Calibre HUB9015 with a 150-hour power reserve
Key Complication: Central Flying Tourbillon (a first for Hublot)
Production: Strictly Limited Edition of 50 pieces
The Artistry: A Sapphire Sculpture for the Wrist
The first thing that strikes you about the MP-15 is its ethereal transparency. Holding it is like holding a solidified fragment of time. The case, sculpted from a single block of pure sapphire crystal, takes the shape of Takashi Murakami's iconic smiling flower.
At the center, where the heart of the flower would be, the tourbillon floats. In an act of technical audacity, Hublot placed this beating mechanical heart in the absolute center of the watch, making it hypnotic and exposed. To read the time, discreet hands on the periphery point to almost ghostly indices, ceding the entire stage to the dance of the tourbillon.
The Investment Analysis: Price vs. True Value
This is where the story gets fascinating for the strategic collector.
The official retail price from Hublot is $330,000 USD. However, the real value proposition is best understood by analyzing two key factors: historical precedent and current market reality.
1. Historical Precedent: A Pattern of Returns
Hublot's high-profile artist collaborations have a proven history of appreciation. The Hublot x Murakami series is a prime example. The first "Classic Fusion All Black" model from 2021, launched at about $27,300, now consistently trades for around $60,000. This pattern establishes a clear market appetite for these fusions of art and horology.
2. The Current Opportunity: A Market Anomaly
Despite this history of success, the MP-15 Sapphire has not seen an immediate price explosion. An analysis of the current secondary market reveals that the watch is trading below its official retail price. Listings on the grey market often hover between $250,000 and $280,000.
This lack of a speculative bubble creates an exceptionally rare buying window for a piece of this magnitude.
The Verdict: Is the Hublot MP-15 a Good Buy?
The gap between historical success and current market price means the MP-15 is not being treated as a quick flip, but as a piece for the true collector.
For the patient investor with long-term vision, the potential is immense. In 10 or 20 years, when Takashi Murakami's career is studied in retrospect, these 50 "sapphire sculptures" will be seen as cultural artifacts, not just watches.
Buying the MP-15 today below its retail price isn't just a smart purchase; it's acquiring a chapter of contemporary art and horological history at a discount. It is the ultimate "if you know, you know" power move for any serious collection.
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